Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.5#331
Expected Predictive Rating-13.1#328
Pace65.4#217
Improvement+1.6#105

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#222
Improvement+0.0#171

Defense
Total Defense-11.6#346
Improvement+1.6#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 294   VMI W 84-76 43%     1 - 0 -3.8 -6.2 +1.6
  Nov 11, 2012 85   Air Force L 70-77 5%     1 - 1 -1.3 +7.1 -9.6
  Nov 24, 2012 297   Radford L 61-74 45%     1 - 2 -25.2 -18.1 -6.2
  Dec 01, 2012 289   @ UNC Greensboro L 54-84 21%     1 - 3 0 - 1 -35.0 -19.5 -16.7
  Dec 04, 2012 189   @ Charleston Southern L 73-101 8%     1 - 4 -26.0 +2.3 -28.6
  Dec 15, 2012 198   @ Gardner-Webb L 58-71 9%     1 - 5 -11.4 -14.7 +3.7
  Dec 19, 2012 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 57-97 4%     1 - 6 -33.6 -12.6 -23.1
  Dec 22, 2012 102   @ Georgia Tech L 41-73 3%     1 - 7 -24.2 -24.3 +0.1
  Jan 01, 2013 111   @ Clemson L 51-92 4%     1 - 8 -33.9 -12.2 -24.3
  Jan 05, 2013 256   Western Carolina L 55-72 32%     1 - 9 0 - 2 -25.7 -13.7 -15.0
  Jan 10, 2013 309   Chattanooga L 65-70 48%     1 - 10 0 - 3 -17.9 -8.1 -10.4
  Jan 12, 2013 287   Samford L 65-69 42%     1 - 11 0 - 4 -15.3 -6.6 -9.2
  Jan 14, 2013 157   College of Charleston L 69-73 16%     1 - 12 0 - 5 -6.7 +1.8 -8.8
  Jan 17, 2013 70   @ Davidson L 38-70 2%     1 - 13 0 - 6 -21.6 -30.8 +7.5
  Jan 19, 2013 282   @ Georgia Southern W 70-55 19%     2 - 13 1 - 6 +10.9 +12.5 +1.9
  Jan 24, 2013 157   @ College of Charleston L 54-69 6%     2 - 14 1 - 7 -11.2 -10.0 -2.7
  Jan 26, 2013 208   Elon L 66-70 23%     2 - 15 1 - 8 -9.6 -3.3 -6.7
  Jan 31, 2013 249   Wofford W 69-63 31%     3 - 15 2 - 8 -2.4 +2.0 -4.2
  Feb 02, 2013 340   @ Furman W 84-79 43%     4 - 15 3 - 8 -6.6 +8.5 -14.9
  Feb 07, 2013 309   @ Chattanooga L 76-89 25%     4 - 16 3 - 9 -19.4 -0.6 -19.0
  Feb 09, 2013 287   @ Samford L 67-79 21%     4 - 17 3 - 10 -16.8 -2.2 -15.9
  Feb 14, 2013 282   Georgia Southern L 57-78 39%     4 - 18 3 - 11 -31.6 -16.2 -17.0
  Feb 16, 2013 70   Davidson L 57-72 6%     4 - 19 3 - 12 -11.0 -7.5 -6.1
  Feb 20, 2013 259   @ Appalachian St. W 80-77 OT 15%     5 - 19 4 - 12 +0.5 -0.9 +1.2
  Feb 23, 2013 338   @ Presbyterian L 65-68 42%     5 - 20 -14.3 -12.6 -1.8
  Feb 28, 2013 340   Furman W 68-57 67%     6 - 20 5 - 12 -7.1 -10.1 +3.8
  Mar 02, 2013 249   @ Wofford L 62-69 14%     6 - 21 5 - 13 -8.9 +1.7 -11.4
  Mar 08, 2013 256   Western Carolina L 61-76 22%     6 - 22 -20.5 -10.8 -11.0
Projected Record 6.0 - 22.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%